Reaper and Farmiñho’s NFL Divisional Round Insight

1/12 4:35 PM on NBC – Colts at Chiefs

Chiefs -5.5 – 110 | O/U – 57 points | IND ML +193 / KC ML -233

Starting the divisional round is a very interesting game and perhaps the best overall matchup of the weekend. Indianapolis at Kansas City has got sports fanatics going crazy.  With two efficient, high power offenses going at it, there is no question that this will be an excellent football game. Both quarterbacks, Andrew Luck (Colts) and Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) have been playing great this season. Andrew Luck has been the consistent QB we all know him to be and really shined last weekend against the Texans.  Mahomes on the other hand, has had a year that most people could barely even dream of.

Up until last weekend, a lot of people have been underestimating the Colts.  However, since they dismantled the Texans, in Houston, they have been gaining a serious amount of support and respect. The Chiefs on the other hand, started out as the hottest team in the NFL.  However, after losing two of their past three games, some are starting to question how legitimate this Kansas City team really is. Will the Colts step up and show the rest of the NFL that they are not to be overlooked ever again? Or will Kansas City bounce back from a recent slump and regain their thrown as one of the top teams in the NFL this season? This Saturday is sure to be a game that will have us all at the edge of our seats. Damn we love the NFL.

If you’re Andrew Luck, you’re excited. You get to go up against the 31st ranked defense in the league. The Chiefs are allowing the most PPG among any 12 win team since 1970. Although having a great offense is fun to watch, having a great defense is what advances teams in the postseason. There are going to be a few keys to win, first scoring zone efficiency. All 11 of Eric Ebron’s scoring zone receptions this season have been TD’s. The Chiefs have allowed 10 receiving TD’s to TE’s this season. As we saw last week and all season for the Colts, Ebron is a weapon in the scoring zone. It seems easy for Mahomes to score but let’s look at the Colts defense last week who only allowed 322 total yards and only allowed the Texans in the scoring zone twice. We bet Matt Eberflus, the defensive coordinator for the Colts will have a great scheme for the Chiefs high powered offense, especially in the scoring zone. The other key to win is to dominate the trenches. The Colts offensive line allowed 18 sacks this season, 1st in the nfl. Along with that, establishing a run game like they did last year will keep the Chiefs high powered offense off the field.  The Colts defense last week had 3 sacks and 3 tackles for loss along with 8 QB hits. The Chiefs need to protect their biggest playmaker in order to win this game.

Score Predictions:

Reaper: Colts 34 – Chiefs 31

Farmiñho: Chiefs 35 – Colts 31

Our Pick: Take Colts -5.5 and the over at 57.  This is sure to be a shootout.

1/12 8:15 PM on FOX – Cowboys at Rams

Rams -7 – 115 | O/U – 50 points | DAL ML +280 / LA ML -330

After winning an exciting Wild Card game against the Seattle Seahawks, the Dallas Cowboys are being given a real test.  They fly out to Los Angeles to take on the Rams, arguably the best team in the NFL. The Cowboys have a real test in front of them with this matchup.  We have all seen what quarterback Jared Goff and the Rams offense are capable of. Besides Goffs passing success this season, Todd Gurley is also been terrorizing defenses left and right, making defenders look stupid. On the flip side, the Rams defense is just as impressive, lead by Aaron Donald who has been an absolute menace to opposing offences.  The Dallas Cowboys certainly have their backs against the wall, but that doesn’t mean we can count them out just yet. Their offensive power comes from quarterback Dak Prescott and star running back Ezekiel Elliott, but their real strength comes defensively. Cowboys’ defense has been excellent, and has been the main reason behind their success, which is why we are so confident that this game is sure to be one for the books.  Is this the end for the Dallas Cowboys this year? Or will they surprise us and overthrow this powerful Rams team? One thing we know for sure, and it is that Saturday night is going to be a thriller. It doesn’t get much better than this folks. Game on.

The Cowboys are on at primetime again, we doubt it’ll be as interesting as last week’s game but who knows because Dak Prescott has 13 wins on primetime since entering the NFL in 2016. The Rams and Cowboys are polar opposites in a lot of categories besides one, rushing, where the Cowboys are ranked 10th and the Rams are ranked 3rd in the league. That means whichever team can stop the run will have a better chance to win. The opposite of rushing is passing where the Rams have the advantage led by Jared Goff. They are 5th in passing this year and Goff has been lights out with 4,688 yards with 32 touchdowns. It will be interesting to watch Talib line up against Cooper as both have proven how good they can be. The key to win in this game will be the passing game and the defense. Both teams don’t give up a lot of points but have been inconsistent with who they give up points to, for example the Rams last regular season game they gave up 32 points to a backup quarterback and two weeks before that gave up 23 points to another backup quarterback. Dallas gave up 35 points to Eli Manning in week 16 and 20 points to a weaker passing team than the Rams but pretty even in ways, Tampa Bay. Dak Prescott will need to perform with his arm in order for Dallas to keep this game close.

Score Prediction:

Reaper: Rams 30 – Cowboys 17

Farmiñho: Rams 33 – Cowboys 20

Our Pick: Rams -7 is a lock.  Take the over at 50 as well.

LOS ANGELES, CA – OCTOBER 08: Head coach Sean McVay of the Los Angeles Rams talks with Jared Goff #16 during the fourth quarter in at 16-10 Seattle Seahawks win at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on October 8, 2017 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

1/13 1:05 PM on CBS – Chargers at Patriots

Patriots -4 – 110 | O/U – 47.5 points | LA ML +170 / NE ML -200

After the Los Angeles Chargers impressive win against the Ravens in Baltimore, many of us are wondering just how far this Chargers team can go.  Their defense played impressively well against the Ravens, and Phillip Rivers played like an experienced veteran, showing just how calm and collected he is.  However, this next challenge for LA is going to show the NFL world if they are the real deal, or merely had a string of good luck. Taking on the Tom Brady and the Patriots is going to be a serious task for the Chargers and there is no doubt that this game will be seriously entertaining.  Although everyone outside of New England is rooting for the Chargers, there is some doubt over whether or not they can pull it off. One thing is certainly clear. This is going to be a matchup that is defined by quarterbacks success. Rivers versus Brady. All the rabble rousing New Englanders have been smack-talking with some serious confidence, but we believe that this game is going to be much closer than one might think on paper.  This game is certainly going to have a lot of points on the board. The question is, which quarterback will get the upper hand?

Gillette Stadium in January, we’ve seen this over and over again but will we see it next weekend? As prominent the past has been for New England, it hasn’t been too hot for Rivers who is looking for his first playoff victory against New England. Rivers is 1-5 in the regular season against New England, the one win being when Brady was sidelined due to an injury. When it comes to league rankings the Chargers are very put together having the 11th offense, 9th defense, 10th passing attack, 15th rushing attack. They’ve been consistent in all avenues of the game, in order to beat the Patriots in the playoffs they need to be lights out. It’s not going to come down to anything specific to win the game as both teams are even in all categories. To be honest, it can just come down to experience vs inexperience, Brady and the patriots have been here before, they know what it takes. The culture of that team is to win around this time and Bill Belichick has installed that to his players, Bill is 6-1 against coaches in their first postseason. Keys to win, limit turnovers, dominate in all 3 phases (offense, defense and special teams), put points on the board, every point will matter.

Score Prediction:

Reaper: Patriots 24 – Chargers 17

Farmiñho: Patriots 31 – Chargers 23

Our Pick: Patriots -4 is a sure bet.  The over at 47.5 is the biggest lock of the weekend. Hammer it.

Sep 7, 2017; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) takes the field before a game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper -USA TODAY Sports

1/13 4:40 PM on FOX – Eagles at Saints

Saints -8 – 110 | O/U – 51| PHI ML +315 / NO ML -395

Saints versus Eagles is the most straightforward game of the weekend.  After the Eagles stroke of good fortune last weekend, they managed to come away with a win against the Bears in Chicago.  But now, Philly is going up against the best offense in the NFL. Now we all know that the Birds were lucky to defeat the Bears, but at the same time, we do have to give them some credit.  Yes, their defense is good and we suppose that, yes they have some offensive prowess. But they are out of their league in this one. The all-mighty offense of New Orleans is going to be very difficult to stop.  Drew Brees has been picking apart secondaries left and right and running back Mark Ingram has had his way defenses since his return, after missing the first four games of the season due to suspension. This game will certainly be exciting, but maybe only for Saints fans.  Sorry Philly, but after Sunday you’re going to watching the NFL playoffs on TV. Better luck next year.

After the Saints head coach walked into the locker room with three armed guards, the Lombardi trophy, $225k in cash and said “Y’all want this? Win 3 fucking games”, we know what the outcome is going to be. Looking at the matchup, it’s just evident that the Saints are the better team. The only thing the Eagles have over the Saints is that 1 year ago they were here. We didn’t expect the Eagles to beat the Bears but here they are. Different story this time as the Eagles play against a real quarterback who is the only player to win 5+ home playoff games with a single team without a loss since the NFL merger in 1970. Since week 10 the Saints have only allowed 17 PPG. Lets not forget that the Eagles played the Saints this season already and lost 48-7. Keys to win are simple, each drive must end up with points or punting to give opposing team awful field position, be all over the field on defense. Its evident both teams have play makers and both teams can score pretty easy so it’s up to the defenses to create havoc for opposing quarterbacks.

Score Prediction

Reaper: Saints 34 – Eagles 24

Farmiñho: Saints 38 – Eagles 17

Our pick: Saints -8 is a GO. The over is a bit riskier, but if you think Philly can put some points on the board than take it.  


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